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DTN Midday Grain Comments 02/17 10:52
Corn, Wheat Futures Lower at Midday Tuesday; Soybeans Higher
Corn futures are 4 to 5 cents lower at midday Tuesday; soybean futures are 2
to 3 cents higher; wheat futures are 3 to 11 cents lower.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are 4 to 5 cents lower at midday Tuesday; soybean futures are 2
to 3 cents higher; wheat futures are 3 to 11 cents lower. The U.S. stock market
is mixed at midday with the S&P 5 points lower. The U.S. Dollar Index is 45
points higher. The interest rate products are mixed. Energy trade is weaker
with crude off .55 and natural gas is off .18. Livestock trade is firmer but
off the early highs. Precious metals are sharply lower with gold 140.00 lower.
CORN:
Corn futures are 4 to 5 cents lower at midday with firmer spread action as
overall rangebound action continues. Ethanol margins should continue to support
strong production runs in the short term. Weekly export inspections were strong
at 1.492 million metric tons (mmt) with year-to-date pace holding at 144%.
Basis will likely remain flat in the short term. New-crop price ratios are
edging back toward corn today but soybeans are more competitive for marginal
acres now. On the March chart, support is the 20-day moving average at $4.28,
which we are testing at midday, with resistance the recent high at $4.34 1/2.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are 2 to 3 cents higher at midday with trade holding the
upper end of the range and momentum slowing overall with overbought conditions
in place. Meal is 3.00 to 4.00 lower and oil is 40 to 50 points higher. Brazil
harvest will roll along with some recent rains in Argentina easing some of the
drier areas. Basis may start finding a little better support if shipments
continue to improve through late winter. Weekly export inspections were solid
at 1.203 mmt with year-to-date pace at 68%. On the March chart, support is
$10.89, where we find the 20-day moving average, with the fresh high at $11.41
1/2 as resistance.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are 3 to 11 cents lower at midday with Chicago the downside
leader after briefly inverting the front-month spreads on strong cash action to
close last week. Weather for the Plains looks to stay warmer than normal with
better moisture the second half of the month. Matif wheat is a bit weaker after
a solid Monday. Weekly export inspections remain solid at 375,402 metric tons
with year-to-date pace at 119%. On the KC March chart, support is the 20-day
moving average at $5.36, which we tested overnight, with resistance the fresh
high at $5.55.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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